CAIRO: Egypt’s central bank said Thursday that a $2 billion loan from Qatar arrived in December, suggesting that the money had already been eaten up defending the currency before the foreign reserves crisis became public late last year.
News of the Qatari loan broke this week, and markets assumed that Egypt had a cushion that would allow it to keep the pound’s depreciation orderly, supporting Egyptian assets.
Political strife in late November and early December set off a rush to convert Egyptian pounds to dollars, sending the currency to record lows on concerns the government might devalue or bring in capital controls.
The central bank, which has spent more than $20 billion defending the pound in the two years since Egypt’s popular uprising, said on Dec. 29 that its foreign reserves had reached a “minimum and critical limit” and announced a new currency regime as it struggled to stabilize the pound.
But Sunday the bank said Egypt’s foreign reserves had fallen in December by only $21 million, to $15.015 billion.
Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Hamad bin Jassim al-Thani announced Tuesday that Qatar had lent the country $2 billion and given it an extra $500 million outright.
Asked by email Thursday whether the deposit arrived in January or December, Nidal Assar, the bank’s sub-governor for investment and foreign relations, replied: “December.”
Analysts said that the Qatari deposit’s arrival in December indicated that switching out of pounds and into dollars had been much greater than thought over the last few weeks.
“That shows the scale of dollarization in December and explains the shift to auctions on the part of the central bank,” said Said Hirsh, an economist with Maplecroft.
Egypt has been negotiating a $4.8 billion loan from the International Monetary Fund to deal with the crisis and expects an IMF team to visit Cairo in two to three weeks. The loan agreement was approved in November, but political turmoil in December forced the government to delay a series of austerity measures deemed necessary to win the IMF board’s final approval.
“Without Qatari aid, Egypt was on course for a full-blown financial crisis and, perhaps, a forced deal with the IMF by February,” Hirsh said.
Egypt’s ambassador to Turkey said Ankara had transferred $500 million into Egyptian coffers Thursday, the Egyptian state news agency said.