Forecasters have predicted some dangerous extreme events about a week ahead, including Superstorm Sandy in 2012.
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Make fun of the weatherman if you want but modern forecasts have quietly, by degrees, become much better.It was 66 percent 11 years ago, according to ForecastWatch, a private firm that rates accuracy of weather forecasts.Then, predictions where a storm would be 36 hours out were accurate within 155 kilometers.r Last year, the National Weather Service five-day forecasts were within 4 degrees of the high temperature. That's as accurate as 2005's three-day forecasts and a full degree better than the five-day forecasts of 11 years ago.Problems with that forecast were compounded by the way the storm's uncertainties were communicated to the public – or in this case not – meteorologists said.Next up: The weather service is developing two national general forecasts – temperature and rain and snow – for up to a month in advance.
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