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New poll puts Obama ahead in critical Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida

FILE - In this June 26, 2012 file photo, President Barack Obama speaks in Atlanta. (AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster, File)

WASHINGTON: President Barack Obama has staked out a clear lead in Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida – three major battleground states in the Nov. 6 U.S. election – over his Republican challenger Mitt Romney, a poll released Wednesday showed.

The Quinnipiac University survey, taken just days after Obama’s immigration policy announcement on June 15, also found strong support in all three states for the order allowing some illegal immigrants brought to the country as children to avoid deportation.

Overall, the poll found Obama ahead of Romney by 9 percentage points in Ohio (47 percent to 38 percent), 6 percentage points in Pennsylvania (45 percent to 39 percent) and 4 percentage points in Florida (45 percent to 41 percent).

The results are outside the poll’s margin of error of plus or minus 2.8 percent. Last month, Ohio and Florida had been too close to call, and Obama had led Pennsylvania by an even larger margin of 8 percentage points, according to the poll of nearly 3,700 voters.

The three states may be critical to winning the presidential election, and “no one has won the White House since 1960 without taking at least two of them,” Quinnipiac said.

Obama is seeking a second four-year term in office and won all three in 2008. Nationwide polls have shown Obama and Romney in a tight race.

“If he can keep those leads in all three of these key swing states through Election Day he would be virtually assured of re-election,” said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

The Quinnipiac poll surveyed voters from June 19 to 25, days after Obama announced that hundreds of thousands of illegal immigrants who were brought into the United States as children could be able to avoid deportation and get work permits. Most illegal immigrants in the United States are Hispanics.

Obama’s action came amid Republican opposition in Congress to “Dream Act” immigration legislation supported by the president. Romney accused Obama of political motivation in making the policy change, but declined to say he would repeal it if elected.

“Voters in all three states voice strong support for the president’s mini ‘Dream Act’ immigration order, and they say the president would be better than Romney handling immigration,” Brown said.

In Florida, Hispanic voters said they would back Obama over Romney 56 percent to 32 percent – up 7 percentage points from another Quinnipiac poll in June before the policy change. Over half of the voters polled in Ohio and Pennsylvania also said they supported Obama’s immigration policy.

 
A version of this article appeared in the print edition of The Daily Star on June 28, 2012, on page 11.

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