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One thing is certain, political analysts say that no party will be able to secure a sweeping win in any of the 15 electoral districts, besides the Shiite duo of the Amal Movement and Hezbollah in the southern districts.The preferential voting system, introduced in the new proportional electoral law agreed last year, will see voters select a single candidate as well as the list they represent. The breakdown of seats is determined by the share of the vote each list receives but then who is allocated a seat is determined by how many preferential votes each candidate received. The party likely to suffer the most from the new proportional voting system and the preferential vote is the Free Patriotic Movement, especially since its election strategy is mainly based on coalitions and the party not running any lists formed of exclusively of party members.On the other hand, the Lebanese Forces, unlike its Christian counterpart the FPM, "have played it right" and took advantage of the preferential vote in a bid to boost the size of its bloc, according to elections expert Kamal Feghali.He expected the LF to expand its seats in Parliament from eight to 11, as it has nominated one or two party members in each district, which will allow its electoral machine to divide votes fairly between its candidates.
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