Lebanon's Grand Serail. (The Daily Star/Mohamad Azakir)
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The resignation of Prime Minister Saad Hariri Saturday shocked the nation, dividing analysts on what the move would mean for the coming months even as experts said the economic situation would remain stable.Over at least the last year, Hariri has remained mute over Hezbollah's involvement in Syria, their military offensive against the Nusra Front in the Bekaa Valley over the summer, the party's control over significant administrative and government positions as well as endorsing a presidential candidate close to the group with President Michel Aoun.On the other hand if Aoun sides with a prime minister other than Hariri or his pick, he could face significant reaction from the international community that would lead, "most probably, to a total economic collapse of the country," Salamey said.Bou Habib ruled out Aoun forming a Cabinet that would challenge Hariri "because there is no problem between them". He said the best thing for Aoun to do would be to move to a small Cabinet of 10 to 12 ministers that are well respected and completely neutral – something that he says is entirely possible. Further playing down the effects of Hariri's move, Ghobril said that the economy was having little growth this year despite the political improvement under the unity government, improved consumer confidence and "an acceptable summer season".
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