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IAEA, Iran again fail to reach inspection deal

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad addresses lawmakers on the county's economic situation during a session at the parliament in Tehran on January 16, 2013. (AFP PHOTO/BEHROUZ MEHRI)

VIENNA: U.N. inspectors and Iran failed again in talks this week to revive an investigation into suspected nuclear arms research by Tehran, a setback for diplomatic efforts to resolve the atomic dispute with the Islamic Republic.

Herman Nackaerts, deputy director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency, said Friday after returning from Tehran that his inspectors had not been granted the access they have long sought to a military site.

A further round of negotiations was scheduled for Feb. 12, he said, more than a year after the IAEA and Iran held their first in a series of so far largely fruitless meetings.

In a separate note sent to the IAEA’s member states about the negotiations over Wednesday and Thursday, the U.N. agency said “important differences” between the two sides remained.

The absence of a breakthrough, which would help allay international suspicions over Iranian nuclear ambitions, will disappoint world powers seeking a broader diplomatic settlement with Iran that would avert the threat of a new Middle East war.

The IAEA made its best efforts to find a compromise and “one has to question whether there is any political will in Tehran to reach an agreement or whether they are just trying to buy time,” one Western envoy said.

The IAEA’s attempts to resume its long-blocked investigation in Iran are separate from but still related to negotiations between Tehran and six world powers, known as the P5+1, that may resume later this month after a seven-month hiatus.

The IAEA, whose mandate is to forestall the spread of atomic weapons, has been trying for a year to negotiate a so-called structured approach with Iran giving its inspectors access to sites, officials and documents for their inquiry.

The most pressing of the U.N. agency’s concerns is to inspect the Parchin military complex southeast of Tehran where it believes explosives tests of use in developing nuclear weapons may have been carried out, something Iran denies.

“We had two days of intensive discussions,” Nackaerts told reporters in Vienna. “We could not finalize the structured approach to resolve the outstanding issues regarding possible military dimensions of Iran’s nuclear program.”

He gave no details. But one big sticking point has been Iran’s insistence that each separate issue in the inquiry be declared closed once Tehran has addressed it, while the IAEA wants the flexibility to return to it if new evidence emerges.

“We have been very skeptical that Iran will ever allow this discussion to conclude. From Iran’s point of view the status quo is fine,” a Vienna-based diplomat said.

There was no immediate comment from Iran, but it has often said it is ready to clarify any ambiguities about its nuclear program, which says is entirely peaceful.

Nackaerts said as he left Vienna for Tehran Tuesday that he hoped for immediate access to Parchin, where Western diplomats suspect Iran has been trying to cleanse the site of any traces of past, illicit nuclear-related activity.

Iran, which denies accusations of a nuclear weapons agenda and says intelligence information pointing to that is forged, insists Parchin is a conventional military facility and has dismissed accusations of “sanitization” taking place there.

“Also on this occasion no access was granted to Parchin,” said Nackaerts.

Western powers monitoring the IAEA-Iran talks for any indication as to whether Iran, under intensifying sanctions pressure over its nuclear defiance, may be prepared to finally stop what they see as its obstruction of the U.N. investigation.

Israel, a U.S. ally believed to harbor the Middle East’s sole nuclear arsenal, has threatened to bomb Iranian nuclear sites if it judges diplomacy and sanctions meant to curb Iran’s enrichment program to have failed irretrievably.

But the probability of an Israeli attack on Iran in 2013 is low, partly because Tehran is unlikely to make a dash to a bomb this year, said political risk consultancy Eurasia Group.

The lack of outcome may strengthen suspicions among analysts and diplomats that Iran would make concessions to the IAEA only if it won something in return from the powers, which unlike the U.N. agency can ease sanctions on the major oil producer.

A former Iranian nuclear negotiator, Hossein Mousavian, said it had been a mistake to have the IAEA-Iran talks before the next meeting of the world powers and the Islamic state.

He said some of the IAEA demands for access, including to Parchin and other military sites, went beyond the requirements under the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, an assertion the U.N. agency would likely dispute.

“Iran cannot accept such demands beyond the NPT for free and the IAEA is not in position to negotiate reciprocations,” said Mousavian, now a visiting scholar at Princeton.

 
A version of this article appeared in the print edition of The Daily Star on January 19, 2013, on page 11.

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