BEIRUT

Middle East

Disaffection guards Algeria status quo

  • Pictures of Algerian president Abdelaziz Bouteflika and candidate in the upcoming presidential elections, hang over a street in the center of Algiers on April 15, 2014. (AFP PHOTO/PATRICK BAZ)

ALGIERS: The college students playing pickup soccer along the faded grandeur of Algiers’ sweeping waterfront say they won’t be voting in Thursday’s presidential elections, echoing the sentiments of many young Algerians.

They want jobs and housing when they graduate and lack loyalty to a political system run by an aging leader too frail to show up for a single campaign event.

Boycotting is the main form of protest against an election that 77-year-old President Abdelaziz Bouteflika is expected to win despite his glaring absence, because powerful institutions of the state are firmly wedded to maintaining Algeria’s status quo. But dissatisfaction in this key energy producer and U.S. ally in the fight against terrorism is growing in the face of a sclerotic political system that does little to include the 80 percent of the population of 37 million who are under the age of 45.

“After we finish our studies there’s only unemployment and you need connections to get to work,” Redouane Baba Abdi said.

“Most people don’t want Bouteflika for a fourth term. He’s like the walking dead.”

Bouteflika made no appearances in the three-week campaign, leaving it to his ministers and close associates to rally interest in his re-election. After a stroke last year that left him speaking and walking with difficulty, he has limited himself to carefully scripted TV appearances with foreign visitors like U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry earlier this month.

Bouteflika changed the constitution in 2008 so that he could remain president, but a fourth term might be a step too far even for a country that was barely affected by the Arab Spring pro-democracy uprisings. Several Bouteflika rallies were canceled after they were disrupted by demonstrations, raising fears that another victory could lead to greater unrest.

While Bouteflika’s rule has been characterized by economic growth thanks to high oil prices and a return to stability after battles against Islamists in the 1990s, heavy government spending is running up against dwindling oil reserves and falling prices. The country is still run by the same generation that won the war of independence from France in 1962, and shows little interest in involving others.

“We are in a backward world. It’s the old telling the young to get out of the way,” said Abderrahmane Hadj-Nacer, a former central bank governor and analyst.

“The people have been corrupted by the distribution of houses and jobs – productivity has been destroyed,” he said.

In fact, the disaffected young students playing soccer have their education and housing paid for by the government, and they talk about waiting to be given a job rather than going out and finding one.

“We have taught our youth to just to stick out their hand,” Hadj-Nacer added.

Stability and the largesse of the state have been the main themes of the campaign by the president’s surrogates, who have warned that perks like free housing could come to an end or civil war return if the president is not re-elected.

“He brought you from the darkness into the light, that is the miracle of Bouteflika,” Prime Minister Abdelmalek Sellal roared at the final rally in Algiers Sunday, his voice hoarse from campaigning.

Much of the 5,000-strong crowd at the rally came from public sector companies or unions with ties to the government. Supporters were bused in from across country.

“It is true he’s tired, but his brains still work – he doesn’t need to use his hands,” Akila Kelloud, a union member from the nearby city of Medea, said after the rally.

The country is in a delicate phase. Despite foreign reserves of $200 billion, international financial institutions are sounding alarm bells, describing the economy as overly dependent on oil.

Oil and gas make up 95 percent of the country’s exports and 63 percent of the budget revenue but employ only 2 percent of the labor force. Worse still, the country’s trade balance is expected to go negative in the face of a massive importation bill.

In a February report, the International Monetary Fund warned that “wide-ranging structural reforms” were needed to reduce the number of jobless Algerians and encourage growth. While heavy state spending has dropped unemployment to less than 10 percent, it is still at 25 percent for young people.

The man who says he can tackle the situation is Ali Benflis, a former prime minister and the main opposition candidate among the five running against Bouteflika.

“I offer an alternative, a new project and I want to put the youth into the center of decision-making,” he told the Associated Press.

He described how he visited all 48 provinces in the country and logged more than 100 hours of air travel in the course of the campaign – in contrast to Bouteflika’s inactivity.

Benflis’ challenge is not just to win over the millions who don’t vote, but also to guard against fraud, which local and international observers say often characterize Algerian contests.

“If there is fraud I will not be quiet,” he said. “I will not call for an uprising. I will ask the Algerians not to accept a false election.”

Opposition is also emerging in a rare grass-roots organization of teachers, journalists, doctors and other professionals called Barakat – “enough” in the Algerian dialect – who have been staging small rallies around the country protesting against systemic corruption.

It could build into something greater. The protests were originally brutally suppressed, but in the past weeks a few dozen have been allowed on downtown sidewalks, breaking a major taboo.

Sid Ali Kouidi Filali, one of the group’s organizers, said the real work was to raise people’s consciousness and make them realize that they could change the system.

“We are trying to re-engage the Algerian people in politics,” he said.

Chafiq Mesbah, a political analyst and former intelligence officer, believes that these scattered demonstrations – 10,000 of them in 2013, according to police – will slowly increase as the social and economic situation continues to deteriorate.

“I think all these little demonstrations will coalesce into a national movement,” he said, citing the elections as a possible turning point. “It will be the beginning of a process, though the explosion won’t happen immediately after.”

 
A version of this article appeared in the print edition of The Daily Star on April 17, 2014, on page 9.
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Summary

Boycotting is the main form of protest against an election that 77-year-old President Abdelaziz Bouteflika is expected to win despite his glaring absence, because powerful institutions of the state are firmly wedded to maintaining Algeria's status quo.

Bouteflika made no appearances in the three-week campaign, leaving it to his ministers and close associates to rally interest in his re-election.

Bouteflika changed the constitution in 2008 so that he could remain president, but a fourth term might be a step too far even for a country that was barely affected by the Arab Spring pro-democracy uprisings.

While heavy state spending has dropped unemployment to less than 10 percent, it is still at 25 percent for young people.

"I offer an alternative, a new project and I want to put the youth into the center of decision-making," he told the Associated Press.

He described how he visited all 48 provinces in the country and logged more than 100 hours of air travel in the course of the campaign – in contrast to Bouteflika's inactivity.


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