President Barack Obama speaks at the Rose Garden of the White House in Washington, about the breakthrough in the Iranian nuclear talks, April 2, 2015. (AP/Pablo Martinez Monsivais)
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On a basic level, the framework deal between world powers and Tehran will be judged by whether it prevents an Iranian bomb, but that will take years to figure out.Supporters of the framework deal can argue that the U.S. and world powers extracted significant concessions from Iran, breaking a decadelong impasse and proving that diplomacy backed by tough sanctions can bring about positive change even in the Middle East.If leaders in those places read the fine print of the agreement the U.S. and other world powers hope to reach with Iran by June 30 and conclude that they were duped or have flinched, these leaders will be less likely to give in to pressure in the future, rendering the Iran agreement a lonely foreign policy achievement clouded by the region's chaos.The implications may first be seen in Iran itself. Some also note that viewing Iran as an implacable regional menace is simplistic.
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