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It is the background, and Hezbollah's interests, that may tell us what the ultimate outcome will be in the presidency.For some time Hezbollah has viewed the Lebanese situation as part and parcel of the Syrian situation. With these two pieces in place, Hezbollah bought valuable time to go on the offensive in Syria, playing a vital role in helping Assad's forces recapture the Qalamoun district.That's why Aoun, who is perfectly aware of Hezbollah's plan, has been so busy trying to make himself relevant to both the party and to Walid Jumblatt, who can hand him a majority. The recent leak to Al-Joumhouria, in which Aoun said that it was necessary to accept the fact that Assad could win in Syria, was directed at the first; his statement that he would participate in elections on the basis of the 1960 law was aimed at the second. That is why Hezbollah wants to preserve its relationship with Aoun, whatever their momentary disagreements over the presidency.Unless the Saudis give a green light to their Lebanese allies, the general will face serious obstacles in his path. The weeks ahead will reveal what the presidential election is really about, and they will better expose Hezbollah's role in preparing for its preferred end game.
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