An Iranian flag flutters near a separation wall in the Lebanese southern village of Kfar Kila, Monday, May 6, 2013. (The Daily Star/Mohammed Zaatari)
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Recently, the former minister Wiam Wahab, in an interview on television, said something to the effect that he was saddened by the vacuum in the Lebanese presidency. He was saddened because Lebanon might never have a Maronite president again. Today, Iranian combatants are fighting in Syria, compensating for the losses in the Alawite community, while Iran has spent billions of dollars to prop up Assad's regime.In Lebanon, it seems highly probable that Iran will pursue a similar logic by seeking to modify the political system to the advantage of the Shiite community, led by Hezbollah. Taif is widely viewed in Lebanon as having favored the Sunni community because it turned the Cabinet into Lebanon's executive authority, taking most powers away from the Maronite presidency. The party has itself done nothing to fill the presidency, preferring to highlight just how irrelevant the post has become as the state continues to function more or less normally without a president in place.On several occasions Aoun raised the issue of a new division of power in Lebanon according to thirds – in other words roughly a 33-33-33 division between Sunnis, Shiites and Maronites – to replace the 50-50 division between Christians and Muslims in Taif.Lebanon has particular importance for Iran.Lebanon is entering an Iranian era.
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