A model of a planned new capital for Egypt is displayed for investors during the final day of Egypt Economic Development Conference in Sharm el-Sheikh, south of Cairo, March 15, 2015. REUTERS/Amr Abdallah Dalsh
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When historians look back on the Middle East decades from now, they might find that trends in the region after 2015 were determined by the outcome of four seminal issues and battles that are in play this month.The most important one is the struggle within Egypt to achieve a stable governance and economic system that is at once legitimate in the eyes of its own people and sustainable for generations ahead. I am dubious about this process for Egypt, because it seems to have taken the neoliberal economic development model that has failed the Arab world in recent decades to a new level where Egypt will have the world's first gated capital.How the ongoing struggle for stability and citizen rights in Egypt plays itself out will go a long way to defining the Arab condition in the decades ahead.The second fateful contest underway is the battle for the Iraqi town of Tikrit, which has been occupied by ISIS for a year or so.
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