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Hillary Clinton has had a good run in recent days.By that measure, things actually look bad for Clinton.The most famous election model, devised by Yale economist Ray Fair, is said to hold up well in analyses of elections going back a century. Another way to predict the outcome of a presidential election is to look at polls. There are models that employ statistical techniques to average and smooth out polling data. Elections are determined by many, many factors.Polls incorporate how people feel about the economy, the incumbent, the state of the world, etc. The polls have Clinton winning, as do betting markets, which are really just a reflection of the polls.Enter the blended models, which use a mix of economic data and polls. Most of these predict Clinton winning, though some favor the Republican.
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