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Making predictions three weeks before the U.S. election is risky, but the likeliest bet right now is that the center will hold in American politics and Hillary Clinton will be elected president.Silver, a leading polling guru, projected Monday night that based on major surveys, the chances of a Clinton victory had increased to 88 percent, up 5 points in a week and 33 points from her low ebb in September before the first debate.To many analysts, Vladimir Putin's Russia has seemed on the march while the U.S. and its allies are in retreat.There's more stability in the current U.S.-Russian confrontations than some might think.Russia's seemingly dominant position in these conflicts is also more fragile than it looks.U.S. campaign rhetoric sometimes makes it seem like the world is falling apart.The U.S. election, on current evidence, will probably yield a modest consolidation for global order after a period of stress.
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