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Long-anticipated peace negotiations between India and Pakistan appear to have been delayed until after India's May parliamentary elections, and the prospects for subsequent talks are not clear.Peace with Pakistan would strengthen his personal standing nationally and internationally, thus constituting a step toward fulfilling the BJP's great-power ambitions for India.Sharif has offered India olive branches of his own, and with good reason: Rapprochement with India is essential to strengthening his position in Afghanistan and improving his capacity to suppress violence at home. Peace with India would also allow him to undercut the power of Pakistan's military and its intelligence wing, the Inter-Services Intelligence. Indeed, the biggest obstacle to India-Pakistan peace negotiations is their vulnerability to spoilers.India also has its spoilers.With Pakistan and India backing opposing sides in Afghanistan, the military and the ISI could reassert themselves should tensions there rise.Recent agreements to establish more border trading posts and bank branches are good starting points, and Pakistan has already made some moves to reciprocate India's offer of most-favored-nation trading status under a different name.
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