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According to conventional wisdom, if Iran develops nuclear weapons, then Saudi Arabia, Turkey and perhaps Egypt will try to follow suit.As far as Turkey is concerned, the conventional wisdom seems to be largely wrong.Turkey does have a nascent nuclear energy program. These economic interests, combined with national security considerations, give Turkey an incentive not to seek nuclear weapons.Indeed, the United States has based nuclear weapons in Turkey for decades.In any case, Turkey lacks the know-how and technical infrastructure to produce a nuclear weapon quickly, and the country would need a long time – probably more than a decade – to develop this capacity. All of these considerations point to the serious risks that seeking nuclear weapons would pose to Turkey's security.
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