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The net result is that the accord should lengthen the period it would take Iran to produce one or more nuclear weapons from several months to as much as a year, making it more likely that such an effort would be discovered in time. The prospect that the JCPOA could keep Iran without nuclear weapons for 15 years is its main attraction. There is also the danger that Iran will fail to comply with parts of the agreement and undertake prohibited work.Without violating the accord, Iran can position itself to break out of nuclear constraints when the agreement's critical provisions expire.It is important that the United States (ideally, joined by other countries) let Iran know that action to put itself in a position to field nuclear weapons after 15 years, though not explicitly precluded by the accord, will not be tolerated. A major effort must be launched to assuage the concerns of Iran's neighbors, several of which will be tempted to hedge their bets against Iran's potential breakout in 15 years by pursuing nuclear programs of their own.
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