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A nuclear accord between Iran and the five permanent members of the United Nations Security Council, plus Germany, is almost certain.Emerging alliances to counter this common threat will be reflected in Lebanon, a fault line between the United States and Iran.A nuclear accord will allow the U.S. and Iran to consolidate their influence.There is tacit Hezbollah acceptance and encouragement of U.S. aid to the Lebanese Army as well as of reconnaissance missions carried out by U.S. special forces, using unmanned aerial vehicles, over the northeastern Bekaa Valley.The U.S., in turn, is accepting of Hezbollah's presence in the Lebanese government as well as its coordination with the Lebanese Army in confronting radical Islamist groups in the Qalamoun area. Lebanese political parties may not need to be with America against Iran, or vice versa. In time, Iran may find it reasonable to defend its Shiite assets and leave Sunni areas in Iraq and Syria to ISIS, which some in Iran consider to be a Sunni problem for Saudi Arabia And Turkey to resolve.
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