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Military coups – successful or otherwise – follow a predictable pattern in Turkey.Thanks to a series of sham trials targeting secularist officers, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan had managed to reconfigure the military hierarchy and place his own people at the top.Social media were full of pictures of hapless (and apparently clueless) soldiers being pulled out of tanks and disarmed (and sometimes much worse) by civilian crowds – scenes I never thought I would see in a country that has come to hate military coups but still loves its soldiers.In fact, the military was the last remaining Gulenist stronghold in Turkey, since Erdogan had already purged the movement's sympathizers in the police, judiciary and media.We also know that Erdogan was preparing to make a major move against the Gulenists in the military. The coup attempt will add potency to Erdogan's venom and fuel a wider witch hunt against the Gulen movement.Politically, the failed coup is a boon for Erdogan.The coup's failure will thus bolster Erdogan's authoritarianism and do little good for Turkish democracy.
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