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Disconcerting political developments in the United States and the United Kingdom might lead one to conclude that an already challenged world economy will struggle even more in the near term.Since my days as chief economist at Goldman Sachs, I have kept an eye on six indicators from around the world that, taken together, provide a reliable snapshot of what the global economy will look like for the next six months. The first indicator is weekly unemployment claims in the U.S., from which one can gauge the overall strength of the U.S. economy. This will arguably be one of the most important indicators for both China and the rest of the global economy for years to come.A fifth indicator is South Korean trade data, which is consistently reported on the first day of each month after trades occur – faster than any other country.Taken together, these six indicators suggest to me that the global economy might now be growing at a rate of more than 4 percent.
of fiscal policy
as feasible option
Unpredictable Trump’s one-way economy
Does the Group of 20 still
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