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Wednesday evening, U.S. President Donald Trump arrived in Poland, where he met with Central and Eastern European leaders Thursday at a summit of the Three Seas Initiative. Also Thursday, before heading to the G-20 summit in Hamburg, Germany, Trump will address the Polish people.Trump's decision to visit Warsaw is no accident, and it could have far-reaching consequences for the European Union, and for Poland's place in it. So, what is the impetus for Trump's visit?Kaczynski clearly sees an opportunity to put on a show for domestic consumption, by using Trump's visit to demonstrate that Poland is a regional leader, rather than a black sheep.As for Trump, who still fancies himself more of a businessman than a politician, natural gas provides opportunities for deal-making and job creation. By visiting Poland before Germany, Trump may be trying to create a split within the EU, similar to when newly admitted member states drew criticism from "Old Europe" for supporting the U.S. invasion of Iraq in 2003 . Still, it would be naive for Poland to trust Trump. By speaking in Poland, which has traditionally been seen as a vocal critic of Russia in the region, Trump may be hoping to remove suspicion.
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