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Has North Korea's ruler Kim Jong Un made a strategic decision to trade away his nuclear program, or is he just engaged in another round of deceptive diplomacy, pretending that he will denuclearize in exchange for material benefits for his impoverished country?Optimists tend to believe that Kim's declared intention to denuclearize is sincere.Pessimists, however, caution against believing that Kim is serious about denuclearization. There is so far no evidence, they argue, that Kim is different from his father (and grandfather, Kim Il Sung), when it comes to adhering to international agreements. They are skeptical, for example, that North Korea will cooperate fully on three major issues. Second, given North Korea's bad track record, the pessimists think it unlikely that Kim will permit intrusive nuclear inspections, which is a critical component of CVID. Finally, North Korea has not yet clarified the terms of its denuclearization.
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