Dubai to launch sovereign bond soon, plans to tap market for another $5 billion

DUBAI: Facing a budget deficit, Dubai is planning a benchmark sovereign dollar bond issue in the coming days after holding meetings with potential investors in London Monday and Tuesday.

The Gulf Arab emirate, known for its extravagant projects such as the Palm Jumeirah artificial islands and the world’s tallest tower Burj Khalifa, has been scrambling to put finances in its state-owned conglomerates back in shape since its 2009 debt crisis.

The imminent bond issue is expected to tap out an existing debt facility, and Dubai announced in a prospectus on Sunday that it would launch a new $5 billion Euro Medium Term Note framework for future debt issuance.

The unrated emirate, whose overall debt load is estimated at $115 billion or 140 percent of its economic output, has hired Mitsubishi UFJ Securities, Standard Chartered Bank and UBS AG as arrangers and dealers for the new Emirates NBD and National Bank of Abu Dhabi will be the dealing banks for the new bond program.

“We see … the program as a positive step. It gives improved transparency of fiscal and debt positions and developments,” said Monica Malik, chief economist at EFG-Hermes.

“Moreover, this external bond program will also help reduce reliance on domestic funding, although the rate of interest will be vital,” she said.

Last week, Dubai’s department of finance announced it planned to come back to the debt market with a potential dollar bond issue, buoyed by tightening spreads and an oversubscribed bond from its flagship airline recently.

The imminent debt issue will happen shortly after meetings with investors in London this week, the Dubai government’s media office said in a statement, with Emirates NBD, HSBC, Royal Bank of Scotland and UBS as joint book-runners.

Appetite for Dubai debt has been rising in recent months, with the emirate seen as a safe haven as social unrest spread to nearby Bahrain, Oman and Yemen.

The United Arab Emirates and Qatar are the only two states in the Gulf, the world’s top oil-exporting region, which have not seen any protests inspired by uprisings that toppled leaders in Tunisia and Egypt.

Dubai’s budget deficit more than halved to 6.02 billion dirhams ($1.64 billion) or 2 percent of gross domestic product last year from 2009, coming slightly above the original plan, the prospectus showed.

The shape of Dubai’s finances is expected to improve this year helped by banking sector stabilization, trade recovery, oil prices at around $100 per barrel as well as austerity measures.

“Revenue is likely to exceed that set out in the budget,” said Simon Williams, chief economist at HSBC. “The outturn will depend on actual spending levels.”

In January, Dubai’s ruler approved a 2011 government budget with the lowest deficit in four years of 3.78 billion dirhams, or 1.3 percent of economic output, with revenues set at 29.91 billion dirhams and expenditures of 33.7 billion dirhams, slightly below 2010.

Dubai, which lacks the oil wealth of neighboring Abu Dhabi, has no current plans to implement corporate or income taxes, the prospectus said. Various fees from housing to tourism make up around 62 percent of its budget.

Besides customs duties, Dubai levies a 20 percent income tax on profits earned by foreign banks.

The public sector plays a leading role in the Dubai economy, which accounts for 28 percent of the overall output of the UAE, the world’s No.3 oil exporter, but the direct government spending amounts to just 10 percent of GDP.

A government official said in May that Dubai, bracing for some $30 billion in debt redemptions over the next two years, plans to cut state spending by 20 to 25 percent until 2013.

Dubai’s direct debt was 115.4 billion dirhams, or 38 percent of 2010 GDP as of May 20, according to the document, up from 105.5 billion at the end of July 2010.

Dubai’s trade and property-based economy expanded by 2.4 percent last year, the prospectus showed, citing preliminary data.

A version of this article appeared in the print edition of The Daily Star on June 13, 2011, on page 4.




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