Middle East

Poll finds low Western support for military intervention

File - A U.N. chemical weapons expert, wearing a gas mask, holds a plastic bag containing samples from one of the sites of an alleged chemical weapons attack in the Ain Tarma neighbourhood of Damascus August 29, 2013. (REUTERS/Mohamed Abdullah)

BEIRUT: Over half of the people surveyed in an international Reuters/Ipsos poll are opposed to foreign military action against Syrian President Bashar Assad, and more are against their own countries intervening in the conflict. The poll, conducted in 15, mostly European countries, also found that only about a third of respondents held Syria’s government accountable for using chemical weapons despite Western efforts to blame Assad for an Aug. 21 sarin gas attack.

The United States had threatened punitive strikes against Damascus after the attack, which killed hundreds of people in the capital’s suburbs, but stepped back after Syria agreed to eliminate its chemical weapons.

Overall, about 52 percent of people surveyed last month were opposed to any military intervention in Syria.

Over half of respondents in the United States and France – which offered to join any mission – said they were against it. In Britain, where Parliament voted against a motion to authorize military action in principle in August, 56 percent opposed it.

Argentina was the most strongly opposed to military intervention in Syria. Some 68 percent of people surveyed there said they were against it.

In nearly every country surveyed, a majority of people were opposed to their own country getting involved in the conflict, including Japan, Canada, Hungary, Australia, Poland, the United States and France. About 57 percent opposed it overall.

The poll did not include findings from states whose governments have been among the strongest supporters of Assad, such as Iran, Russia and China.

It also excluded many of the countries most directly involved in supporting the rebellion against Assad’s rule, including Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Turkey. No Arab or African countries were included in the survey.

Western powers said information from their spy agencies and from a United Nations report left little doubt Assad’s government was behind the August sarin attack, but Syria and its ally Russia have blamed the rebels.

The Reuters/Ipsos poll showed that just 36 percent of people surveyed believed Assad’s government was to blame for the chemical attacks.

About a quarter of people blamed both sides for using chemical weapons and roughly another quarter said they did not know who was behind the attacks. About 8 percent blamed anti-government groups.

Blame for Assad’s government was highest in Sweden, Britain and Germany, and lowest in Belgium, Italy and, lastly, Argentina, where only about 17 percent blamed the government.

Since the Aug. 21 attack, Assad has given interviews to media from the United States, China, Venezuela, Italy, Turkey and Germany to make his case.

The poll, conducted online between Sept. 4 and Sept. 18, had a sample of over 12,000 adults, with about 1,000 in each country except Argentina, Belgium, Hungary, Poland, South Korea and Sweden, where there were around 500 respondents each.

In countries with around 1,000 surveyed the poll’s credibility interval, a measure of accuracy was plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. In countries where about 500 were surveyed it was accurate to 5 percentage points.

A version of this article appeared in the print edition of The Daily Star on October 10, 2013, on page 8.




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